Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.570924 0.631200 0.696244 0.771828 0.857469 0.951747 1.063737
2025-09-28 0.455965 0.535205 0.627105 0.742287 0.883790 1.053246 1.273479
2025-10-05 0.409524 0.500690 0.611799 0.758661 0.949886 1.193520 1.532418
2025-10-12 0.374999 0.473522 0.598449 0.770853 1.006369 1.322456 1.788524
2025-10-19 0.345762 0.448537 0.583269 0.776165 1.050828 1.436674 2.036014
2025-10-26 0.321507 0.426983 0.569349 0.779921 1.091111 1.546799 2.289536
2025-11-02 0.302389 0.410213 0.559657 0.787412 1.135820 1.666322 2.571682
2025-11-09 0.278660 0.384734 0.535035 0.769923 1.139926 1.722501 2.757312
2025-11-16 0.264872 0.372243 0.527816 0.777260 1.182229 1.842489 3.065851
2025-11-23 0.249187 0.355655 0.512966 0.770965 1.201222 1.925052 3.318759
2025-11-30 0.237829 0.344633 0.505510 0.775346 1.237599 2.040287 3.647840
2025-12-07 0.224112 0.329017 0.489678 0.764456 1.246369 2.106934 3.892054
2025-12-14 0.211899 0.315161 0.475956 0.756415 1.260171 2.185875 4.177317
2025-12-21 0.196423 0.295244 0.451222 0.727687 1.234135 2.187204 4.301194
2025-12-28 0.191184 0.291359 0.452300 0.743672 1.291540 2.355927 4.816637
2026-01-04 0.185562 0.286445 0.451233 0.755575 1.342172 2.517092 5.344648
2026-01-11 0.179159 0.279818 0.446751 0.760762 1.380041 2.656322 5.846915
2026-01-18 0.172970 0.273164 0.441733 0.764428 1.415037 2.793519 6.370772
2026-01-25 0.167804 0.267934 0.438823 0.771741 1.458037 2.953572 6.986438
2026-02-01 0.159222 0.256342 0.423891 0.754668 1.448201 2.992500 7.282907
2026-02-08 0.154838 0.251840 0.421437 0.761830 1.490808 3.158798 7.972186
2026-02-15 0.148827 0.244144 0.412676 0.755685 1.503611 3.255307 8.479285
2026-02-22 0.144635 0.239473 0.409211 0.759962 1.540004 3.414506 9.213672